The rebound of international waste paper prices in the third week of September 2012

This week, the paper printing sector trended beyond the broader market. The sector's decline this week was 0.04%, surpassing the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 Index (down 0.07% this week) by 0.03 percentage points. We believe that due to the two factors of declining demand and concentrated production capacity, the papermaking sector may be at the bottom for a long period of time, and its fundamentals may still maintain a bottom stagnation in the first half of the year.

International pulp prices continue to decline. European softwood pulp fell slightly, with a drop of 1.78%, while hardwood pulp prices fell by 0.95%. Looking ahead to the next few months, there may be changes in the supply of pulp. If the paper market is able to see a seasonal increase in demand, the current low stocks of paper mills will trigger more pulp shipments in the short term.

International waste paper prices have rebounded this week. In the US waste futures market, there were not many suppliers this week, and prices continued to rise. Some suppliers said that the current supply is insufficient, and the foreign packaging factories are quite reluctant to sell after the price rises. The recent OCC market in the daily waste market has gradually increased its quotation, and downstream demand has also stabilized, but the market supply is slightly tight. This week, the price of OCC in the European waste futures market has gradually increased, and the A9 price is not much. The supplier said that the local cost price in Europe is relatively high, and the unit price difference with the Chinese paper mill is still relatively large.

The price of paper products has steadily declined. Recently, the price of double-adhesive paper dealers in various places has been stable, but there is a lot of room for negotiation. In terms of white cardboard, due to the poor market, this week's white card paper shouting has basically subsided, the price is stable, and some areas are slightly loose. Local dealers said that although the price has not risen, the price cuts have slowed significantly this month and are basically stable. For coated paper, according to past practice, the coated paper market should enter the peak season in September, and the paper mill intends to raise prices in September. The current increase in downstream demand is not obvious. In terms of cardboard paper, affected by market demand, performance varies from place to place. The demand for industrial product boxes has decreased significantly this year.

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